Serie A · 2022

Flamengo 1–2 Fortaleza · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 1–2.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.872.18
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza beat Flamengo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Fortaleza): shots 11–12, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.87–2.18, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fortaleza.

6.92 days ▲Rest daysFlamengo · Fortaleza3.81 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFlamengoFortalezaBaseline
Rest days6.92 days3.81 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fortaleza have a visible away split

weak

Fortaleza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11 shots/match14 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fortaleza's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fortaleza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.67 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsFlamengo 11 shots, Fortaleza 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsFlamengo 3 shots, Fortaleza 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.87 xG2.18 xGFlamengo 1.87 xG, Fortaleza 2.18 xG
  • Possession66%34%Flamengo 66%, Fortaleza 34%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersFlamengo 9 corners, Fortaleza 3 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls21 foulsFlamengo 9 fouls, Fortaleza 21 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo9 matchesFortaleza9 matches
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.67 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed9/91.33 goals/match
1.38 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/91.19 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots9/9▲ 14 shots/match
4.78 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/94.33 shots/match
55.8% ●Possession9/949.8%
6.22 corners/match ●Corners9/95.89 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls9/915.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Jun 2022, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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