Serie A · 2022

Fluminense 5–3 Atlético Mineiro · Serie A

5–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fluminense won 5–3.

Shots
1311
Shots on target
96
Expected goals
1.780.85
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fluminense beat Atlético Mineiro 5–3. Recorded in this match (Fluminense – Atlético Mineiro): shots 13–11, shots on target 9–6, expected goals 1.78–0.85, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fluminense's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fluminense's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fluminense have a visible home split

moderate

Fluminense's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Fluminense, Atlético Mineiro.

3.44 days ▲Rest daysFluminense · Atlético Mineiro3.23 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFluminenseAtlético MineiroBaseline
Rest days3.44 days3.23 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots11 shotsFluminense 13 shots, Atlético Mineiro 11 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots6 shotsFluminense 9 shots, Atlético Mineiro 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.78 xG0.85 xGFluminense 1.78 xG, Atlético Mineiro 0.85 xG
  • Possession43%57%Fluminense 43%, Atlético Mineiro 57%
  • Corners1 corner9 cornersFluminense 1 corner, Atlético Mineiro 9 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls15 foulsFluminense 13 fouls, Atlético Mineiro 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fluminense favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Mineiro in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fluminense10 matchesAtlético Mineiro10 matches
1.3 goals/matchGoals scored10/10▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
0.96 xG/matchExpected goals10/10▲ 1.43 xG/match
11.9 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 17.7 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 5.5 shots/match
53.8%Possession10/10● 59.3%
5.1 corners/matchCorners10/10● 7.6 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 9 Jun 2022, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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