PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Cuiabá 1–1 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

Cuiabá

LDLLW
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá and Red Bull Bragantino drew 1–1.

Shots
198
Shots on target
54
Expected goals
1.850.94
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiabá and Red Bull Bragantino drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cuiabá – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 19–8, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 1.85–0.94, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.09 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.09 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cuiabá, Red Bull Bragantino.

3.9 days ▲Rest daysCuiabá · Red Bull Bragantino2.94 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCuiabáRed Bull BragantinoBaseline
Rest days3.9 days2.94 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots8 shotsCuiabá 19 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 8 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots4 shotsCuiabá 5 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.85 xG0.94 xGCuiabá 1.85 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 0.94 xG
  • Possession43%57%Cuiabá 43%, Red Bull Bragantino 57%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersCuiabá 5 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 4 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsCuiabá 14 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá11 matchesRed Bull Bragantino11 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.09 goals/match
1.18 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1 goal/match
1.1 xG/match ▲Expected goals11/111.03 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 12.1 shots/match
3.09 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 3.27 shots/match
43.5%Possession11/11● 47.1%
4.55 corners/matchCorners11/11● 4.73 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls11/1115.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Jun 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCuiabáRed Bull Bragantino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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