Serie A · 2022

Juventude 1–2 Atlético Mineiro · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Mineiro won 1–2.

Shots
178
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.861.99
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Mineiro beat Juventude 2–1. Recorded in this match (Juventude – Atlético Mineiro): shots 17–8, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.86–1.99, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.87 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventude show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Juventude's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsJuventude · Atlético Mineiro16.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricJuventudeAtlético MineiroBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match16.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against15.3 shots/match10.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Juventude have a visible home split

moderate

Juventude's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.3 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.3 shots/match10.9 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots8 shotsJuventude 17 shots, Atlético Mineiro 8 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsJuventude 3 shots, Atlético Mineiro 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.86 xG1.99 xGJuventude 0.86 xG, Atlético Mineiro 1.99 xG
  • Possession56%44%Juventude 56%, Atlético Mineiro 44%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersJuventude 6 corners, Atlético Mineiro 6 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsJuventude 11 fouls, Atlético Mineiro 11 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Mineiro in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude15 matchesAtlético Mineiro15 matches
0.87 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.6 goals/match
1.73 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.13 goals/match
0.86 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.42 xG/match
10.9 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 16.5 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.93 shots/match
46%Possession15/15● 57.8%
5.33 corners/matchCorners15/15● 6.6 corners/match
15.1 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 2 Jul 2022, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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