PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Botafogo 2–0 Athletico · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 2–0.

Shots
1716
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
0.850.93
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat Athletico 2–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Athletico): shots 17–16, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 0.85–0.93, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Botafogo, Athletico.

2.98 days ▲Rest daysBotafogo · Athletico3.06 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBotafogoAthleticoBaseline
Rest days2.98 days3.06 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots16 shotsBotafogo 17 shots, Athletico 16 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsBotafogo 6 shots, Athletico 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.85 xG0.93 xGBotafogo 0.85 xG, Athletico 0.93 xG
  • Possession54%46%Botafogo 54%, Athletico 46%
  • Corners2 corners11 cornersBotafogo 2 corners, Athletico 11 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls15 foulsBotafogo 16 fouls, Athletico 15 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Athletico in 5 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo19 matchesAthletico19 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored19/19▲ 1.26 goals/match
1.26 goals/matchGoals allowed19/19▲ 1.05 goals/match
1.1 xG/matchExpected goals19/19▲ 1.38 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots19/1913.2 shots/match
4.26 shots/matchShots on target19/194.32 shots/match
49.5% ●Possession19/1943.5%
4.42 corners/matchCorners19/19● 5.21 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples19 / 19home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Jul 2022, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogoAthletico
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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