PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

São Paulo 0–2 Flamengo · Serie A

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 0–2.

Shots
1320
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
0.611.75
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat São Paulo 2–0. Recorded in this match (São Paulo – Flamengo): shots 13–20, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 0.61–1.75, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Flamengo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Flamengo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.52 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.8 goals/match1.52 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

São Paulo have a visible home split

moderate

São Paulo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.9 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.9 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots20 shotsSão Paulo 13 shots, Flamengo 20 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsSão Paulo 5 shots, Flamengo 7 shots
  • Expected goals0.61 xG1.75 xGSão Paulo 0.61 xG, Flamengo 1.75 xG
  • Possession54%46%São Paulo 54%, Flamengo 46%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersSão Paulo 5 corners, Flamengo 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls7 foulsSão Paulo 12 fouls, Flamengo 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0São Paulo
0Draws
1Flamengo
Flamengo — São Paulo · Serie A3–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: São Paulo favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Flamengo in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

São Paulo21 matchesFlamengo21 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.52 goals/match
1.29 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 0.9 goals/match
1.37 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.79 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 15 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 5.33 shots/match
53.7%Possession21/21● 56.3%
5.86 corners/match ●Corners21/215.67 corners/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls21/2114 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Aug 2022, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSão PauloFlamengo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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