PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Coritiba 1–0 Avaí · Serie A

1–0Historical match

Avaí

LLDDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coritiba won 1–0.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
0.770.81
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba beat Avaí 1–0. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Avaí): shots 12–12, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 0.77–0.81, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.96 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.96 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsCoritiba 12 shots, Avaí 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsCoritiba 3 shots, Avaí 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.77 xG0.81 xGCoritiba 0.77 xG, Avaí 0.81 xG
  • Possession44%56%Coritiba 44%, Avaí 56%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersCoritiba 4 corners, Avaí 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsCoritiba 14 fouls, Avaí 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Coritiba
0Draws
1Avaí
Avaí — Coritiba · Serie A2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Avaí in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba24 matchesAvaí24 matches
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/240.96 goals/match
1.63 goals/matchGoals allowed24/24▲ 1.54 goals/match
1.25 xG/matchExpected goals24/241.23 xG/match
13.9 shots/match ▲Shots24/2411.5 shots/match
4.08 shots/match ▲Shots on target24/243.38 shots/match
45.8%Possession24/24● 50.3%
5.54 corners/match ●Corners24/244.04 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls24/2414.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Aug 2022, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoritibaAvaí
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required