PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Avaí 1–1 Athletico · Serie A

Avaí

DDLLD
1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Avaí and Athletico drew 1–1.

Shots
159
Shots on target
32
Expected goals
1.740.86
Possession
69%31%

Full time

What the match recorded

Avaí and Athletico drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Athletico): shots 15–9, shots on target 3–2, expected goals 1.74–0.86, possession 69%–31%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Athletico's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Athletico's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.19 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.19 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Avaí have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.5% ●PossessionAvaí · Athletico41.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 9.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAvaíAthleticoBaseline
Possession51.5%41.8%49.8%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots9 shotsAvaí 15 shots, Athletico 9 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots2 shotsAvaí 3 shots, Athletico 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.74 xG0.86 xGAvaí 1.74 xG, Athletico 0.86 xG
  • Possession69%31%Avaí 69%, Athletico 31%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersAvaí 7 corners, Athletico 2 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls20 foulsAvaí 17 fouls, Athletico 20 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Avaí
0Draws
1Athletico
Athletico — Avaí · Serie A2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Athletico in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí26 matchesAthletico26 matches
0.96 goals/matchGoals scored26/26▲ 1.19 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed26/26▲ 1.12 goals/match
1.24 xG/matchExpected goals26/26▲ 1.32 xG/match
11.5 shots/matchShots26/26▲ 12.2 shots/match
3.31 shots/matchShots on target26/26▲ 4.19 shots/match
51.5% ●Possession26/2641.8%
4.12 corners/matchCorners26/26● 4.77 corners/match
14.8 fouls/matchFouls26/2614.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples26 / 26home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 11 Sept 2022, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíAthletico
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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