PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Botafogo 2–0 Coritiba · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 2–0.

Shots
1218
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.540.96
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat Coritiba 2–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Coritiba): shots 12–18, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.54–0.96, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots18 shotsBotafogo 12 shots, Coritiba 18 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsBotafogo 4 shots, Coritiba 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.54 xG0.96 xGBotafogo 1.54 xG, Coritiba 0.96 xG
  • Possession53%47%Botafogo 53%, Coritiba 47%
  • Corners5 corners10 cornersBotafogo 5 corners, Coritiba 10 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsBotafogo 12 fouls, Coritiba 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Botafogo
0Draws
1Coritiba
Coritiba — Botafogo · Serie A1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 2 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo27 matchesCoritiba27 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored27/271.04 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed27/271.59 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals27/27▲ 1.22 xG/match
14 shots/matchShots27/2713.9 shots/match
4.59 shots/match ▲Shots on target27/273.96 shots/match
49.5% ●Possession27/2745.8%
4.67 corners/matchCorners27/27● 5.74 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls27/2712.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples27 / 27home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 18 Sept 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBotafogoCoritiba
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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