PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Coritiba 1–0 Ceará · Serie A

1–0Historical match

Ceará

DDDWL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coritiba won 1–0.

Shots
1411
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.050.36
Possession
32%68%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba beat Ceará 1–0. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Ceará): shots 14–11, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.05–0.36, possession 32%–68%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Ceará's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Ceará's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.93 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.93 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots11 shotsCoritiba 14 shots, Ceará 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsCoritiba 4 shots, Ceará 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.05 xG0.36 xGCoritiba 1.05 xG, Ceará 0.36 xG
  • Possession32%68%Coritiba 32%, Ceará 68%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersCoritiba 7 corners, Ceará 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls9 foulsCoritiba 12 fouls, Ceará 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Coritiba
1Draws
0Ceará
Ceará — Coritiba · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Ceará in 4 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba28 matchesCeará28 matches
1.04 goals/match ▲Goals scored28/280.93 goals/match
1.54 goals/matchGoals allowed28/28▲ 1.04 goals/match
1.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals28/281.13 xG/match
13.9 shots/matchShots28/2813.5 shots/match
3.96 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.43 shots/match
45.3%Possession28/28● 51.2%
5.79 corners/match ●Corners28/285.14 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls28/2814.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Sept 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCoritibaCeará
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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