PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Cuiabá 2–1 América Mineiro · Serie A

Cuiabá

DDDLD
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá won 2–1.

Shots
1118
Shots on target
38
Expected goals
0.52.83
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiabá beat América Mineiro 2–1. Recorded in this match (Cuiabá – América Mineiro): shots 11–18, shots on target 3–8, expected goals 0.5–2.83, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cuiabá's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cuiabá's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.75 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.75 goals/match1.09 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Cuiabá have a visible home split

moderate

Cuiabá's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season11.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match11.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots18 shotsCuiabá 11 shots, América Mineiro 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots8 shotsCuiabá 3 shots, América Mineiro 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.5 xG2.83 xGCuiabá 0.5 xG, América Mineiro 2.83 xG
  • Possession42%58%Cuiabá 42%, América Mineiro 58%
  • Corners2 corners4 cornersCuiabá 2 corners, América Mineiro 4 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsCuiabá 13 fouls, América Mineiro 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cuiabá
0Draws
1América Mineiro
América Mineiro — Cuiabá · Serie A2–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 5 of 11 directional metrics · América Mineiro in 5 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá28 matchesAmérica Mineiro28 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored28/28▲ 0.86 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed28/280.96 goals/match
1.05 xG/matchExpected goals28/28▲ 1.16 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots28/28▲ 14.2 shots/match
3.29 shots/matchShots on target28/28▲ 4.79 shots/match
43.6%Possession28/28● 45.3%
5.54 corners/match ●Corners28/285.46 corners/match
12.9 fouls/matchFouls28/2815.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples28 / 28home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 29 Sept 2022, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCuiabáAmérica Mineiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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