Serie A · 2022

Atlético Mineiro 2–0 Fluminense · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Atlético Mineiro won 2–0.

Shots
145
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
1.730.33
Possession
30%70%

Full time

What the match recorded

Atlético Mineiro beat Fluminense 2–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Mineiro – Fluminense): shots 14–5, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 1.73–0.33, possession 30%–70%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Mineiro, Fluminense.

2.72 days ▲Rest daysAtlético Mineiro · Fluminense2.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtlético MineiroFluminenseBaseline
Rest days2.72 days2.83 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Fluminense have a visible away split

moderate

Fluminense's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.9 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Atlético Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atlético Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.24 goals/match1.07 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots5 shotsAtlético Mineiro 14 shots, Fluminense 5 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsAtlético Mineiro 5 shots, Fluminense 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.73 xG0.33 xGAtlético Mineiro 1.73 xG, Fluminense 0.33 xG
  • Possession30%70%Atlético Mineiro 30%, Fluminense 70%
  • Corners10 corners1 cornerAtlético Mineiro 10 corners, Fluminense 1 corner
  • Fouls16 fouls4 foulsAtlético Mineiro 16 fouls, Fluminense 4 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Atlético Mineiro
0Draws
1Fluminense
Fluminense — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A5–3

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Mineiro favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Fluminense in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Mineiro29 matchesFluminense29 matches
1.24 goals/matchGoals scored29/29▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.07 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/291.14 goals/match
1.43 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/291.21 xG/match
16.4 shots/match ▲Shots29/2913.8 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/294.52 shots/match
58.7%Possession29/29● 60.4%
6.45 corners/match ●Corners29/295.59 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls29/2911.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 29home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 1 Oct 2022, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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