PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

América Mineiro 1–2 Fortaleza · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 1–2.

Shots
199
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
1.791.21
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza beat América Mineiro 2–1. Recorded in this match (América Mineiro – Fortaleza): shots 19–9, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 1.79–1.21, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortaleza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fortaleza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fortaleza have a visible away split

moderate

Fortaleza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots19 shots9 shotsAmérica Mineiro 19 shots, Fortaleza 9 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsAmérica Mineiro 7 shots, Fortaleza 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.79 xG1.21 xGAmérica Mineiro 1.79 xG, Fortaleza 1.21 xG
  • Possession67%33%América Mineiro 67%, Fortaleza 33%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersAmérica Mineiro 4 corners, Fortaleza 8 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls24 foulsAmérica Mineiro 10 fouls, Fortaleza 24 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0América Mineiro
0Draws
1Fortaleza
Fortaleza — América Mineiro · Serie A1–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: América Mineiro favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

América Mineiro32 matchesFortaleza32 matches
0.94 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.06 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed32/321.03 goals/match
1.2 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.11 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots32/3213.7 shots/match
4.91 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/324.28 shots/match
45.1% ●Possession32/3244.3%
5.34 corners/match ●Corners32/325.31 corners/match
15.4 fouls/matchFouls32/3214.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Oct 2022, 03:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAmérica MineiroFortaleza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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