Serie A · 2022

Juventude 1–2 São Paulo · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 1–2.

Shots
1313
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.730.81
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

São Paulo beat Juventude 2–1. Recorded in this match (Juventude – São Paulo): shots 13–13, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.73–0.81, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for São Paulo.

6.92 days ▲Rest daysJuventude · São Paulo2.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJuventudeSão PauloBaseline
Rest days6.92 days2.83 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.79 goals/match1.12 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Juventude have a visible home split

strong

Juventude's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

15.1 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season12 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots15.1 shots/match12 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots13 shotsJuventude 13 shots, São Paulo 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsJuventude 3 shots, São Paulo 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG0.81 xGJuventude 0.73 xG, São Paulo 0.81 xG
  • Possession41%59%Juventude 41%, São Paulo 59%
  • Corners5 corners6 cornersJuventude 5 corners, São Paulo 6 corners
  • Fouls6 fouls10 foulsJuventude 6 fouls, São Paulo 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Juventude
1Draws
0São Paulo
São Paulo — Juventude · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude33 matchesSão Paulo33 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.39 goals/match
1.82 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.06 goals/match
0.94 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.39 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.61 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 4.33 shots/match
46.4%Possession33/33● 56.1%
5.58 corners/matchCorners33/33● 6.24 corners/match
13.9 fouls/matchFouls33/3313.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Oct 2022, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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