PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Avaí 1–2 Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A

Avaí

LLLLL
1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Red Bull Bragantino won 1–2.

Shots
812
Shots on target
16
Expected goals
1.51.83
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Red Bull Bragantino beat Avaí 2–1. Recorded in this match (Avaí – Red Bull Bragantino): shots 8–12, shots on target 1–6, expected goals 1.5–1.83, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Avaí's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Avaí's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.83 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match0.83 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots12 shotsAvaí 8 shots, Red Bull Bragantino 12 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot6 shotsAvaí 1 shot, Red Bull Bragantino 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.5 xG1.83 xGAvaí 1.5 xG, Red Bull Bragantino 1.83 xG
  • Possession49%51%Avaí 49%, Red Bull Bragantino 51%
  • Corners2 corners7 cornersAvaí 2 corners, Red Bull Bragantino 7 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls17 foulsAvaí 17 fouls, Red Bull Bragantino 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Avaí
0Draws
1Red Bull Bragantino
Red Bull Bragantino — Avaí · Serie A4–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Avaí favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Red Bull Bragantino in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Avaí35 matchesRed Bull Bragantino35 matches
0.83 goals/matchGoals scored35/35▲ 1.37 goals/match
1.66 goals/matchGoals allowed35/35▲ 1.37 goals/match
1.17 xG/matchExpected goals35/35▲ 1.44 xG/match
11.3 shots/matchShots35/35▲ 14.7 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target35/35▲ 4.69 shots/match
51.1% ●Possession35/3550.1%
4.49 corners/matchCorners35/35● 5.94 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls35/3514 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 3 Nov 2022, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAvaíRed Bull Bragantino
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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