Serie A · 2022

Palmeiras 4–0 Fortaleza · Serie A

4–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 4–0.

Shots
188
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
2.240.49
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat Fortaleza 4–0. Recorded in this match (Palmeiras – Fortaleza): shots 18–8, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 2.24–0.49, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortaleza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fortaleza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.14 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fortaleza have a visible away split

moderate

Fortaleza's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.2 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Palmeiras show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Palmeiras's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.5 shots/match ▲ShotsPalmeiras · Fortaleza13.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPalmeirasFortalezaBaseline
Shots17.5 shots/match13.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against11.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsPalmeiras 18 shots, Fortaleza 8 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsPalmeiras 9 shots, Fortaleza 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.24 xG0.49 xGPalmeiras 2.24 xG, Fortaleza 0.49 xG
  • Possession55%45%Palmeiras 55%, Fortaleza 45%
  • Corners4 corners2 cornersPalmeiras 4 corners, Fortaleza 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsPalmeiras 11 fouls, Fortaleza 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Palmeiras
1Draws
0Fortaleza
Fortaleza — Palmeiras · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Palmeiras favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Palmeiras35 matchesFortaleza35 matches
1.8 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/351.06 goals/match
0.63 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.09 goals/match
1.82 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/351.09 xG/match
17.5 shots/match ▲Shots35/3513.3 shots/match
6.03 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/354.2 shots/match
53.9% ●Possession35/3544.2%
7.89 corners/match ●Corners35/355.06 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls35/3514.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 3 Nov 2022, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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