Serie A · 2022

Atlético Mineiro 0–2 Botafogo · Serie A

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 0–2.

Shots
118
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
1.340.58
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat Atlético Mineiro 2–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Mineiro – Botafogo): shots 11–8, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 1.34–0.58, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.14 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match1.14 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Atlético Mineiro.

5.94 days ▲Rest daysAtlético Mineiro · Botafogo6.04 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAtlético MineiroBotafogoBaseline
Rest days5.94 days6.04 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Botafogo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Botafogo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.6 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Mineiro · Botafogo13.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MineiroBotafogoBaseline
Shots15.6 shots/match13.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against9.33 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots8 shotsAtlético Mineiro 11 shots, Botafogo 8 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsAtlético Mineiro 1 shot, Botafogo 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.34 xG0.58 xGAtlético Mineiro 1.34 xG, Botafogo 0.58 xG
  • Possession66%34%Atlético Mineiro 66%, Botafogo 34%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersAtlético Mineiro 6 corners, Botafogo 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls19 foulsAtlético Mineiro 10 fouls, Botafogo 19 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atlético Mineiro
0Draws
0Botafogo
Botafogo — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A0–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Mineiro favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Mineiro36 matchesBotafogo36 matches
1.14 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/361.06 goals/match
1.03 goals/match ▲Goals allowed36/361.11 goals/match
1.39 xG/match ▲Expected goals36/361.09 xG/match
15.6 shots/match ▲Shots36/3613.8 shots/match
4.53 shots/matchShots on target36/364.5 shots/match
59.3% ●Possession36/3648.6%
6.75 corners/match ●Corners36/364.75 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls36/3613.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 8 Nov 2022, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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