PitchMath
Serie A · 2022

Athletico 3–0 Botafogo · Serie A

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Athletico won 3–0.

Shots
249
Shots on target
104
Expected goals
2.690.93
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Athletico beat Botafogo 3–0. Recorded in this match (Athletico – Botafogo): shots 24–9, shots on target 10–4, expected goals 2.69–0.93, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Athletico, Botafogo.

3.77 days ▲Rest daysAthletico · Botafogo2.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAthleticoBotafogoBaseline
Rest days3.77 days2.83 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.08 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.08 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots9 shotsAthletico 24 shots, Botafogo 9 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots4 shotsAthletico 10 shots, Botafogo 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.69 xG0.93 xGAthletico 2.69 xG, Botafogo 0.93 xG
  • Possession40%60%Athletico 40%, Botafogo 60%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersAthletico 6 corners, Botafogo 3 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls13 foulsAthletico 19 fouls, Botafogo 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Athletico
0Draws
1Botafogo
Botafogo — Athletico · Serie A2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Athletico favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Athletico38 matchesBotafogo38 matches
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals scored38/381.08 goals/match
1.26 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲ 1.13 goals/match
1.28 xG/match ▲Expected goals38/381.09 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots38/3813.7 shots/match
4.24 shots/matchShots on target38/38▲ 4.55 shots/match
43.8%Possession38/38● 48.8%
5.26 corners/match ●Corners38/384.66 corners/match
14.1 fouls/matchFouls38/3813.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 13 Nov 2022, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAthleticoBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2022
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required