Serie A · 2023

Bahia 2–3 Flamengo · Serie A

Bahia

LLWWL
2–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 2–3.

Shots
2014
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
1.432.23
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Bahia 3–2. Recorded in this match (Bahia – Flamengo): shots 20–14, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 1.43–2.23, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bahia, Flamengo.

2.88 days ▲Rest daysBahia · Flamengo2.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBahiaFlamengoBaseline
Rest days2.88 days2.83 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Flamengo have a visible away split

weak

Flamengo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

14.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season17.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.7 shots/match17.7 shots/match14 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Flamengo have recorded the higher season possession share.

51.8%PossessionBahia · Flamengo● 60.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBahiaFlamengoBaseline
Possession51.8%60.5%46.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots14 shotsBahia 20 shots, Flamengo 14 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsBahia 6 shots, Flamengo 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.43 xG2.23 xGBahia 1.43 xG, Flamengo 2.23 xG
  • Possession52%48%Bahia 52%, Flamengo 48%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersBahia 10 corners, Flamengo 4 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls13 foulsBahia 16 fouls, Flamengo 13 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Flamengo in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia6 matchesFlamengo6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/6▲ 2 goals/match
1.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 1.5 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 2.12 xG/match
14.3 shots/matchShots6/6▲ 17.7 shots/match
4.67 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 6.33 shots/match
51.8%Possession6/6● 60.5%
6 corners/match ●Corners6/65.83 corners/match
17.8 fouls/matchFouls6/615.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 13 May 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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