PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Cuiabá 0–1 Botafogo · Serie A

Cuiabá

LWDWD
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Botafogo won 0–1.

Shots
235
Shots on target
93
Expected goals
1.131.24
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Botafogo beat Cuiabá 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cuiabá – Botafogo): shots 23–5, shots on target 9–3, expected goals 1.13–1.24, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.73 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.73 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo have a visible away split

moderate

Botafogo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match14.7 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots5 shotsCuiabá 23 shots, Botafogo 5 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots3 shotsCuiabá 9 shots, Botafogo 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.13 xG1.24 xGCuiabá 1.13 xG, Botafogo 1.24 xG
  • Possession52%48%Cuiabá 52%, Botafogo 48%
  • Corners6 corners2 cornersCuiabá 6 corners, Botafogo 2 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls13 foulsCuiabá 11 fouls, Botafogo 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Cuiabá
0Draws
0Botafogo
Botafogo — Cuiabá · Serie A0–2
Cuiabá — Botafogo · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá11 matchesBotafogo11 matches
0.82 goals/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.73 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 0.64 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.68 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 14.7 shots/match
3.91 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 5.18 shots/match
44.3%Possession11/1144.3%
4.64 corners/matchCorners11/11● 4.82 corners/match
12.7 fouls/matchFouls11/1114.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 23 Jun 2023, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCuiabáBotafogo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headCuiabá — Botafogo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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