Serie A · 2023

Atlético Mineiro 0–1 Corinthians · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Corinthians won 0–1.

Shots
268
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.460.83
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians beat Atlético Mineiro 1–0. Recorded in this match (Atlético Mineiro – Corinthians): shots 26–8, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.46–0.83, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

weak

Atlético Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.29 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Corinthians have a visible away split

moderate

Corinthians's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.9 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Corinthians show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Corinthians's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsAtlético Mineiro · Corinthians12.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAtlético MineiroCorinthiansBaseline
Shots15 shots/match12.4 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match15.4 shots/match13.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots26 shots8 shotsAtlético Mineiro 26 shots, Corinthians 8 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsAtlético Mineiro 6 shots, Corinthians 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.46 xG0.83 xGAtlético Mineiro 1.46 xG, Corinthians 0.83 xG
  • Possession60%40%Atlético Mineiro 60%, Corinthians 40%
  • Corners10 corners2 cornersAtlético Mineiro 10 corners, Corinthians 2 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls7 foulsAtlético Mineiro 15 fouls, Corinthians 7 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Atlético Mineiro
0Draws
1Corinthians
Corinthians — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A0–1
Atlético Mineiro — Corinthians · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Atlético Mineiro favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Corinthians in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Atlético Mineiro14 matchesCorinthians14 matches
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals scored14/140.86 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed14/141.21 goals/match
1.44 xG/match ▲Expected goals14/141.03 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots14/1412.4 shots/match
5.36 shots/match ▲Shots on target14/143.93 shots/match
57.1% ●Possession14/1446.9%
5.86 corners/match ●Corners14/145.07 corners/match
16.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1412.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Jul 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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