PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Cuiabá 3–0 Fluminense · Serie A

Cuiabá

LLLDL
3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá won 3–0.

Shots
177
Shots on target
62
Expected goals
1.240.2
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiabá beat Fluminense 3–0. Recorded in this match (Cuiabá – Fluminense): shots 17–7, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 1.24–0.2, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Fluminense have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.3%PossessionCuiabá · Fluminense● 61%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.7 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCuiabáFluminenseBaseline
Possession44.3%61%48.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots7 shotsCuiabá 17 shots, Fluminense 7 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots2 shotsCuiabá 6 shots, Fluminense 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.24 xG0.2 xGCuiabá 1.24 xG, Fluminense 0.2 xG
  • Possession60%40%Cuiabá 60%, Fluminense 40%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersCuiabá 7 corners, Fluminense 0 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls12 foulsCuiabá 18 fouls, Fluminense 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cuiabá
0Draws
3Fluminense
Fluminense — Cuiabá · Serie A2–0
Fluminense — Cuiabá · Serie A1–0
Cuiabá — Fluminense · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Fluminense in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá25 matchesFluminense25 matches
1.04 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.36 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed25/251.16 goals/match
1.04 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.38 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 13.7 shots/match
4.12 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 5.52 shots/match
44.3%Possession25/25● 61%
5.28 corners/matchCorners25/25● 6 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Oct 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCuiabáFluminense
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
Head-to-headCuiabá — Fluminense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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