Serie A · 2023

Botafogo 0–1 Cuiabá · Serie A

0–1Historical match

Cuiabá

WDWDL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá won 0–1.

Shots
326
Shots on target
91
Expected goals
2.11.11
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiabá beat Botafogo 1–0. Recorded in this match (Botafogo – Cuiabá): shots 32–6, shots on target 9–1, expected goals 2.1–1.11, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cuiabá.

7.96 days ▲Rest daysBotafogo · Cuiabá3.94 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBotafogoCuiabáBaseline
Rest days7.96 days3.94 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Botafogo have a visible home split

strong

Botafogo's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.55 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots32 shots6 shotsBotafogo 32 shots, Cuiabá 6 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots1 shotBotafogo 9 shots, Cuiabá 1 shot
  • Expected goals2.1 xG1.11 xGBotafogo 2.1 xG, Cuiabá 1.11 xG
  • Possession67%33%Botafogo 67%, Cuiabá 33%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersBotafogo 7 corners, Cuiabá 2 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls17 foulsBotafogo 12 fouls, Cuiabá 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Botafogo
0Draws
2Cuiabá
Cuiabá — Botafogo · Serie A0–1
Botafogo — Cuiabá · Serie A0–2
Cuiabá — Botafogo · Serie A2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Botafogo favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 4

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Botafogo29 matchesCuiabá30 matches
1.55 goals/match ▲Goals scored29/301.03 goals/match
0.66 goals/match ▲Goals allowed29/301.07 goals/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals29/301.01 xG/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots29/3012.7 shots/match
4.86 shots/match ▲Shots on target29/303.97 shots/match
47.1% ●Possession29/3044.5%
4.59 corners/matchCorners29/30● 5.4 corners/match
13.6 fouls/matchFouls29/3012.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples29 / 30home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 30 Oct 2023, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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