Serie A · 2023

Flamengo 3–0 Palmeiras · Serie A

3–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 3–0.

Shots
1212
Shots on target
61
Expected goals
1.371.05
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Palmeiras 3–0. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Palmeiras): shots 12–12, shots on target 6–1, expected goals 1.37–1.05, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palmeiras's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Palmeiras's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.61 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.61 goals/match1.16 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Flamengo, Palmeiras.

3.23 days ▲Rest daysFlamengo · Palmeiras4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFlamengoPalmeirasBaseline
Rest days3.23 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Palmeiras show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Palmeiras's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.5 shots/match ▲ShotsFlamengo · Palmeiras16 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFlamengoPalmeirasBaseline
Shots12.5 shots/match16 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match11.4 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots12 shotsFlamengo 12 shots, Palmeiras 12 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots1 shotFlamengo 6 shots, Palmeiras 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.37 xG1.05 xGFlamengo 1.37 xG, Palmeiras 1.05 xG
  • Possession52%48%Flamengo 52%, Palmeiras 48%
  • Corners4 corners5 cornersFlamengo 4 corners, Palmeiras 5 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls17 foulsFlamengo 13 fouls, Palmeiras 17 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Flamengo
3Draws
0Palmeiras
Palmeiras — Flamengo · Serie A1–1
Palmeiras — Flamengo · Serie A1–1
Flamengo — Palmeiras · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 8 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo32 matchesPalmeiras33 matches
1.53 goals/matchGoals scored32/331.61 goals/match
1.13 goals/matchGoals allowed32/33▲ 0.91 goals/match
1.32 xG/matchExpected goals32/33▲ 1.48 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots32/33▲ 16 shots/match
4.66 shots/matchShots on target32/33▲ 5.24 shots/match
58.1% ●Possession32/3353.8%
5.06 corners/matchCorners32/33● 6.3 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls32/3315.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 9 Nov 2023, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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