PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Bahia 0–3 Cuiabá · Serie A

Bahia

WLLWL
0–3Historical match

Cuiabá

DLWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cuiabá won 0–3.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
46
Expected goals
0.712.25
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cuiabá beat Bahia 3–0. Recorded in this match (Bahia – Cuiabá): shots 15–11, shots on target 4–6, expected goals 0.71–2.25, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Bahia's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Bahia's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.2 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bahia, Cuiabá.

5.02 days ▲Rest daysBahia · Cuiabá2.96 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBahiaCuiabáBaseline
Rest days5.02 days2.96 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsBahia 15 shots, Cuiabá 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots6 shotsBahia 4 shots, Cuiabá 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.71 xG2.25 xGBahia 0.71 xG, Cuiabá 2.25 xG
  • Possession62%38%Bahia 62%, Cuiabá 38%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersBahia 7 corners, Cuiabá 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls23 foulsBahia 10 fouls, Cuiabá 23 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bahia
1Draws
0Cuiabá
Cuiabá — Bahia · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Cuiabá in 5 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia33 matchesCuiabá33 matches
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.03 goals/match
1.39 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.03 goals/match
1.22 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.02 xG/match
13.4 shots/match ▲Shots33/3312.5 shots/match
4.39 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.85 shots/match
50.9% ●Possession33/3344.4%
5.42 corners/match ●Corners33/335.3 corners/match
14.9 fouls/matchFouls33/3312.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 10 Nov 2023, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBahiaCuiabá
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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