Serie A · 2023

Coritiba 1–0 Cruzeiro · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Coritiba won 1–0.

Shots
713
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.710.56
Possession
45%55%

Full time

What the match recorded

Coritiba beat Cruzeiro 1–0. Recorded in this match (Coritiba – Cruzeiro): shots 7–13, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.71–0.56, possession 45%–55%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Coritiba's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Coritiba's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.15 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.15 goals/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Coritiba.

2.88 days ▲Rest daysCoritiba · Cruzeiro6 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCoritibaCruzeiroBaseline
Rest days2.88 days6 days—
Matches last 14 days4 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Coritiba show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Coritiba's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

11.2 shots/match ▲ShotsCoritiba · Cruzeiro14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCoritibaCruzeiroBaseline
Shots11.2 shots/match14 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against15.4 shots/match10.9 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots13 shotsCoritiba 7 shots, Cruzeiro 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsCoritiba 3 shots, Cruzeiro 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.71 xG0.56 xGCoritiba 0.71 xG, Cruzeiro 0.56 xG
  • Possession45%55%Coritiba 45%, Cruzeiro 55%
  • Corners1 corner5 cornersCoritiba 1 corner, Cruzeiro 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls18 foulsCoritiba 15 fouls, Cruzeiro 18 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Coritiba
1Draws
0Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro — Coritiba · Serie A0–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Coritiba favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Cruzeiro in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Coritiba34 matchesCruzeiro32 matches
1.15 goals/match ▲Goals scored34/320.91 goals/match
1.97 goals/matchGoals allowed34/32▲ 0.88 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals34/32▲ 1.21 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots34/32▲ 14 shots/match
4.21 shots/matchShots on target34/324.25 shots/match
44.1%Possession34/32● 51.8%
4.29 corners/matchCorners34/32● 6.88 corners/match
15.7 fouls/matchFouls34/3215.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples34 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 11 Nov 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required