Serie A · 2023

Red Bull Bragantino 2–2 Botafogo · Serie A

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Red Bull Bragantino and Botafogo drew 2–2.

Shots
2511
Shots on target
74
Expected goals
2.920.83
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Red Bull Bragantino and Botafogo drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Red Bull Bragantino – Botafogo): shots 25–11, shots on target 7–4, expected goals 2.92–0.83, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Red Bull Bragantino, Botafogo.

3.83 days ▲Rest daysRed Bull Bragantino · Botafogo2.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRed Bull BragantinoBotafogoBaseline
Rest days3.83 days2.83 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches4 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo's last-five shots average is above their season average.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots17 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo have a visible away split

strong

Botafogo's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.1 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.1 shots/match13.5 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots25 shots11 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 25 shots, Botafogo 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots4 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 7 shots, Botafogo 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.92 xG0.83 xGRed Bull Bragantino 2.92 xG, Botafogo 0.83 xG
  • Possession65%35%Red Bull Bragantino 65%, Botafogo 35%
  • Corners7 corners3 cornersRed Bull Bragantino 7 corners, Botafogo 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls16 foulsRed Bull Bragantino 12 fouls, Botafogo 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Red Bull Bragantino
0Draws
3Botafogo
Botafogo — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–0
Botafogo — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–1
Red Bull Bragantino — Botafogo · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 1 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino33 matchesBotafogo33 matches
1.39 goals/matchGoals scored33/33▲ 1.61 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowed33/330.91 goals/match
1.6 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.36 xG/match
16.8 shots/match ▲Shots33/3313.5 shots/match
5.64 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/334.85 shots/match
56.3% ●Possession33/3347%
7.33 corners/match ●Corners33/334.36 corners/match
16.2 fouls/matchFouls33/3313.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 12 Nov 2023, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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