PitchMath
Serie A · 2023

Grêmio 2–1 Goiás · Serie A

Grêmio

WWWLL
2–1Historical match

Goiás

LWLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Grêmio won 2–1.

Shots
1314
Shots on target
86
Expected goals
1.150.56
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Grêmio beat Goiás 2–1. Recorded in this match (Grêmio – Goiás): shots 13–14, shots on target 8–6, expected goals 1.15–0.56, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Goiás's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Goiás's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.97 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.97 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Goiás.

4.12 days ▲Rest daysGrêmio · Goiás2.92 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGrêmioGoiásBaseline
Rest days4.12 days2.92 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots14 shotsGrêmio 13 shots, Goiás 14 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots6 shotsGrêmio 8 shots, Goiás 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.15 xG0.56 xGGrêmio 1.15 xG, Goiás 0.56 xG
  • Possession50%50%Grêmio 50%, Goiás 50%
  • Corners6 corners3 cornersGrêmio 6 corners, Goiás 3 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsGrêmio 16 fouls, Goiás 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Grêmio
1Draws
0Goiás
Goiás — Grêmio · Serie A1–1

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Grêmio favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Goiás in 3 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Grêmio36 matchesGoiás36 matches
1.64 goals/match ▲Goals scored36/360.97 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed36/361.44 goals/match
1.32 xG/match ▲Expected goals36/360.99 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots36/3613.3 shots/match
5.11 shots/match ▲Shots on target36/363.94 shots/match
46.8% ●Possession36/3644.2%
5.39 corners/match ●Corners36/365.31 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls36/3617 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples36 / 36home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 1 Dec 2023, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGrêmioGoiás
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2023
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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