Serie A · 2023

Red Bull Bragantino 1–0 Coritiba · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Red Bull Bragantino won 1–0.

Shots
276
Shots on target
90
Expected goals
2.110.26
Possession
65%35%

Full time

What the match recorded

Red Bull Bragantino beat Coritiba 1–0. Recorded in this match (Red Bull Bragantino – Coritiba): shots 27–6, shots on target 9–0, expected goals 2.11–0.26, possession 65%–35%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Red Bull Bragantino's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.3 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.3 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Red Bull Bragantino, Coritiba.

2.92 days ▲Rest daysRed Bull Bragantino · Coritiba3.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricRed Bull BragantinoCoritibaBaseline
Rest days2.92 days3.88 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Red Bull Bragantino show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Red Bull Bragantino's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17 shots/match ▲ShotsRed Bull Bragantino · Coritiba11.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricRed Bull BragantinoCoritibaBaseline
Shots17 shots/match11.2 shots/match13.5 shots/match
Shots against11.7 shots/match16.1 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots27 shots6 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 27 shots, Coritiba 6 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots0 shotsRed Bull Bragantino 9 shots, Coritiba 0 shots
  • Expected goals2.11 xG0.26 xGRed Bull Bragantino 2.11 xG, Coritiba 0.26 xG
  • Possession65%35%Red Bull Bragantino 65%, Coritiba 35%
  • Corners12 corners6 cornersRed Bull Bragantino 12 corners, Coritiba 6 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls10 foulsRed Bull Bragantino 16 fouls, Coritiba 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Red Bull Bragantino
0Draws
1Coritiba
Coritiba — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A0–1
Coritiba — Red Bull Bragantino · Serie A2–1
Red Bull Bragantino — Coritiba · Serie A4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Red Bull Bragantino favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Coritiba in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Red Bull Bragantino37 matchesCoritiba37 matches
1.3 goals/match ▲Goals scored37/371.11 goals/match
0.89 goals/match ▲Goals allowed37/371.92 goals/match
1.57 xG/match ▲Expected goals37/371.05 xG/match
17 shots/match ▲Shots37/3711.2 shots/match
5.65 shots/match ▲Shots on target37/373.97 shots/match
57% ●Possession37/3743.6%
7.62 corners/match ●Corners37/374.32 corners/match
15.9 fouls/matchFouls37/3715.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 4 Dec 2023, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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