PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Bahia 1–0 Grêmio · Serie A

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 1–0.

Shots
143
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.160.12
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat Grêmio 1–0. Recorded in this match (Bahia – Grêmio): shots 14–3, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.16–0.12, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Grêmio show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Grêmio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/match ▲ShotsBahia · Grêmio8.25 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBahiaGrêmioBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match8.25 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against10.5 shots/match11.8 shots/match12.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Grêmio.

6.21 days ▲Rest daysBahia · Grêmio7.1 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBahiaGrêmioBaseline
Rest days6.21 days7.1 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots3 shotsBahia 14 shots, Grêmio 3 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsBahia 4 shots, Grêmio 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG0.12 xGBahia 1.16 xG, Grêmio 0.12 xG
  • Possession60%40%Bahia 60%, Grêmio 40%
  • Corners4 corners0 cornersBahia 4 corners, Grêmio 0 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls15 foulsBahia 10 fouls, Grêmio 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bahia
0Draws
2Grêmio
Grêmio — Bahia · Serie A1–0
Bahia — Grêmio · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia4 matchesGrêmio4 matches
1.5 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41 goal/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/4▲ 0.75 goals/match
1.37 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.78 xG/match
13.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/48.25 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/43.75 shots/match
51.3% ●Possession4/449.5%
4.5 corners/match ●Corners4/44.25 corners/match
12.8 fouls/matchFouls4/410.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 28 Apr 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBahiaGrêmio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headBahia — Grêmio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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