PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Criciúma 1–2 Palmeiras · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Palmeiras won 1–2.

Shots
1223
Shots on target
45
Expected goals
1.252.88
Possession
39%61%

Full time

What the match recorded

Palmeiras beat Criciúma 2–1. Recorded in this match (Criciúma – Palmeiras): shots 12–23, shots on target 4–5, expected goals 1.25–2.88, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Palmeiras show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Palmeiras's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11 shots/match ▲ShotsCriciúma · Palmeiras16.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCriciúmaPalmeirasBaseline
Shots11 shots/match16.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match
Shots against20.3 shots/match10.6 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Palmeiras have recorded the higher season possession share.

40%PossessionCriciúma · Palmeiras● 54.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.1 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCriciúmaPalmeirasBaseline
Possession40%54.1%49.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots23 shotsCriciúma 12 shots, Palmeiras 23 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots5 shotsCriciúma 4 shots, Palmeiras 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.25 xG2.88 xGCriciúma 1.25 xG, Palmeiras 2.88 xG
  • Possession39%61%Criciúma 39%, Palmeiras 61%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersCriciúma 4 corners, Palmeiras 6 corners
  • Fouls17 fouls9 foulsCriciúma 17 fouls, Palmeiras 9 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Palmeiras in 0 · 11 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma4 matchesPalmeiras7 matches
1.75 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/70.71 goals/match
1 goal/matchGoals allowed4/7▲ 0.57 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals4/7▲ 1.46 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots4/7▲ 16.4 shots/match
4.5 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/73.86 shots/match
40%Possession4/7● 54.1%
2.5 corners/matchCorners4/7● 6.57 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls4/715.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 2 Jun 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCriciúmaPalmeiras
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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