PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Flamengo 2–1 Grêmio · Serie A

2–1Historical match

Grêmio

LWWLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 2–1.

Shots
1615
Shots on target
65
Expected goals
0.960.98
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Grêmio 2–1. Recorded in this match (Flamengo – Grêmio): shots 16–15, shots on target 6–5, expected goals 0.96–0.98, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Grêmio show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Grêmio's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsFlamengo · Grêmio9.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFlamengoGrêmioBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match9.5 shots/match13.1 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Flamengo's recent record differs from the season

weak

Flamengo's last-five shots average is above their season average.

19.6 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots19.6 shots/match16.6 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots15 shotsFlamengo 16 shots, Grêmio 15 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots5 shotsFlamengo 6 shots, Grêmio 5 shots
  • Expected goals0.96 xG0.98 xGFlamengo 0.96 xG, Grêmio 0.98 xG
  • Possession42%58%Flamengo 42%, Grêmio 58%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersFlamengo 4 corners, Grêmio 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsFlamengo 9 fouls, Grêmio 10 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Flamengo
0Draws
1Grêmio
Grêmio — Flamengo · Serie A3–2
Flamengo — Grêmio · Serie A3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Flamengo favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Grêmio in 2

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Flamengo8 matchesGrêmio6 matches
1.88 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/60.83 goals/match
0.88 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/61.17 goals/match
1.48 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/60.82 xG/match
16.6 shots/match ▲Shots8/69.5 shots/match
6.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/63.5 shots/match
57% ●Possession8/650%
6.88 corners/match ●Corners8/64.83 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls8/611.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 14 Jun 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFlamengoGrêmio
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headFlamengo — Grêmio
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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