PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Bahia 1–0 Fortaleza · Serie A

Bahia

DWWWD
1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 1–0.

Shots
1221
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
1.431.28
Possession
54%46%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat Fortaleza 1–0. Recorded in this match (Bahia – Fortaleza): shots 12–21, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.43–1.28, possession 54%–46%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortaleza's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fortaleza's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.86 goals/match1.13 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots21 shotsBahia 12 shots, Fortaleza 21 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsBahia 3 shots, Fortaleza 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.43 xG1.28 xGBahia 1.43 xG, Fortaleza 1.28 xG
  • Possession54%46%Bahia 54%, Fortaleza 46%
  • Corners5 corners9 cornersBahia 5 corners, Fortaleza 9 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls9 foulsBahia 14 fouls, Fortaleza 9 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bahia
1Draws
0Fortaleza
Bahia — Fortaleza · Serie A2–0
Fortaleza — Bahia · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 6 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 5

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia8 matchesFortaleza7 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/70.86 goals/match
0.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/7▲ 0.71 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/70.99 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots8/7▲ 13.7 shots/match
4 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/73.71 shots/match
48.8% ●Possession8/741%
4.25 corners/matchCorners8/7● 6.43 corners/match
11.4 fouls/matchFouls8/712.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 14 Jun 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBahiaFortaleza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headBahia — Fortaleza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required