Serie A · 2024

Criciúma 2–1 Botafogo · Serie A

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Criciúma won 2–1.

Shots
1611
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.270.71
Possession
38%62%

Full time

What the match recorded

Criciúma beat Botafogo 2–1. Recorded in this match (Criciúma – Botafogo): shots 16–11, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.27–0.71, possession 38%–62%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Criciúma, Botafogo.

2.88 days ▲Rest daysCriciúma · Botafogo2.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCriciúmaBotafogoBaseline
Rest days2.88 days2.88 days—
Matches last 14 days4 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Botafogo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Botafogo's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.64 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1.64 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Botafogo show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Botafogo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.6 shots/match ▲ShotsCriciúma · Botafogo11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricCriciúmaBotafogoBaseline
Shots14.6 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against18 shots/match13 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots11 shotsCriciúma 16 shots, Botafogo 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsCriciúma 4 shots, Botafogo 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.27 xG0.71 xGCriciúma 1.27 xG, Botafogo 0.71 xG
  • Possession38%62%Criciúma 38%, Botafogo 62%
  • Corners4 corners7 cornersCriciúma 4 corners, Botafogo 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls14 foulsCriciúma 16 fouls, Botafogo 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Criciúma favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Botafogo in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Criciúma9 matchesBotafogo11 matches
1.78 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/111.64 goals/match
1.78 goals/matchGoals allowed9/11▲ 1 goal/match
1.35 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/111.19 xG/match
14.6 shots/match ▲Shots9/1111.7 shots/match
5.22 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/113.82 shots/match
42.8%Possession9/11● 52.3%
3.33 corners/matchCorners9/11● 5.82 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls9/1115.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Jun 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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