Serie A · 2024

Vasco da Gama 4–1 São Paulo · Serie A

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vasco da Gama won 4–1.

Shots
1410
Shots on target
72
Expected goals
1.280.36
Possession
41%59%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vasco da Gama beat São Paulo 4–1. Recorded in this match (Vasco da Gama – São Paulo): shots 14–10, shots on target 7–2, expected goals 1.28–0.36, possession 41%–59%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Vasco da Gama, São Paulo.

3.06 days ▲Rest daysVasco da Gama · São Paulo3.06 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVasco da GamaSão PauloBaseline
Rest days3.06 days3.06 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Vasco da Gama's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Vasco da Gama's last-five shots average is below their season average.

9 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots9 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

São Paulo show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

São Paulo's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.6 shots/match ▲ShotsVasco da Gama · São Paulo13.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricVasco da GamaSão PauloBaseline
Shots12.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.9 shots/match
Shots against16.6 shots/match9.73 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots10 shotsVasco da Gama 14 shots, São Paulo 10 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots2 shotsVasco da Gama 7 shots, São Paulo 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.28 xG0.36 xGVasco da Gama 1.28 xG, São Paulo 0.36 xG
  • Possession41%59%Vasco da Gama 41%, São Paulo 59%
  • Corners2 corners8 cornersVasco da Gama 2 corners, São Paulo 8 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls14 foulsVasco da Gama 13 fouls, São Paulo 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vasco da Gama
1Draws
1São Paulo
Vasco da Gama — São Paulo · Serie A0–0
São Paulo — Vasco da Gama · Serie A4–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vasco da Gama favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vasco da Gama11 matchesSão Paulo11 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.36 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1.18 goals/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals11/11▲ 1.1 xG/match
12.6 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 13.7 shots/match
3.82 shots/matchShots on target11/11▲ 4.82 shots/match
46.7%Possession11/11● 59.1%
4.36 corners/matchCorners11/11● 5.45 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls11/1112.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 23 Jun 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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