Serie A · 2024

Bahia 2–1 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

Bahia

DWDLW
2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Bahia won 2–1.

Shots
179
Shots on target
83
Expected goals
2.481.84
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Bahia beat Vasco da Gama 2–1. Recorded in this match (Bahia – Vasco da Gama): shots 17–9, shots on target 8–3, expected goals 2.48–1.84, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Bahia, Vasco da Gama.

3.23 days ▲Rest daysBahia · Vasco da Gama4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricBahiaVasco da GamaBaseline
Rest days3.23 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days4 matches4 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Bahia's recent record differs from the season

weak

Bahia's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.67 goals/match1.26 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Bahia have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.2% ●PossessionBahia · Vasco da Gama45.9%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricBahiaVasco da GamaBaseline
Possession54.2%45.9%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots9 shotsBahia 17 shots, Vasco da Gama 9 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots3 shotsBahia 8 shots, Vasco da Gama 3 shots
  • Expected goals2.48 xG1.84 xGBahia 2.48 xG, Vasco da Gama 1.84 xG
  • Possession63%37%Bahia 63%, Vasco da Gama 37%
  • Corners7 corners0 cornersBahia 7 corners, Vasco da Gama 0 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls15 foulsBahia 14 fouls, Vasco da Gama 15 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Bahia
1Draws
0Vasco da Gama
Bahia — Vasco da Gama · Serie A1–1
Vasco da Gama — Bahia · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia12 matchesVasco da Gama12 matches
1.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored12/121 goal/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed12/122 goals/match
1.45 xG/match ▲Expected goals12/121.09 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots12/1212.3 shots/match
4.58 shots/match ▲Shots on target12/123.75 shots/match
54.2% ●Possession12/1245.9%
4.42 corners/match ●Corners12/124 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls12/1214.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 27 Jun 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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