PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Cuiabá 0–1 Fluminense · Serie A

Cuiabá

DDLDW
0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fluminense won 0–1.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
0.641.29
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fluminense beat Cuiabá 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cuiabá – Fluminense): shots 16–10, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 0.64–1.29, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fluminense's recent record differs from the season

weak

Fluminense's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.76 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.76 goals/match1.24 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Fluminense have recorded the higher season possession share.

42%PossessionCuiabá · Fluminense● 58%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricCuiabáFluminenseBaseline
Possession42%58%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsCuiabá 16 shots, Fluminense 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsCuiabá 6 shots, Fluminense 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.64 xG1.29 xGCuiabá 0.64 xG, Fluminense 1.29 xG
  • Possession47%53%Cuiabá 47%, Fluminense 53%
  • Corners6 corners4 cornersCuiabá 6 corners, Fluminense 4 corners
  • Fouls19 fouls6 foulsCuiabá 19 fouls, Fluminense 6 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Cuiabá
0Draws
3Fluminense
Cuiabá — Fluminense · Serie A3–0
Fluminense — Cuiabá · Serie A2–0
Fluminense — Cuiabá · Serie A1–0
Cuiabá — Fluminense · Serie A0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cuiabá favored in 7 of 11 directional metrics · Fluminense in 2 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cuiabá17 matchesFluminense17 matches
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/170.76 goals/match
1.29 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/171.41 goals/match
1.02 xG/match ▲Expected goals17/170.88 xG/match
10.8 shots/matchShots17/1711 shots/match
3.71 shots/matchShots on target17/17▲ 4.24 shots/match
42%Possession17/17● 58%
3.53 corners/matchCorners17/17● 4.29 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls17/1712.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples17 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 22 Jul 2024, 03:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCuiabáFluminense
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headCuiabá — Fluminense
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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