PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Cruzeiro 2–0 Juventude · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro won 2–0.

Shots
127
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
2.470.87
Possession
55%45%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro beat Juventude 2–0. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Juventude): shots 12–7, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 2.47–0.87, possession 55%–45%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Cruzeiro, Juventude.

3.92 days ▲Rest daysCruzeiro · Juventude3.02 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCruzeiroJuventudeBaseline
Rest days3.92 days3.02 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Cruzeiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cruzeiro's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.39 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.39 goals/match1.23 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots7 shotsCruzeiro 12 shots, Juventude 7 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsCruzeiro 5 shots, Juventude 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.47 xG0.87 xGCruzeiro 2.47 xG, Juventude 0.87 xG
  • Possession55%45%Cruzeiro 55%, Juventude 45%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersCruzeiro 6 corners, Juventude 5 corners
  • Fouls14 fouls14 foulsCruzeiro 14 fouls, Juventude 14 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 8 of 11 directional metrics · Juventude in 2 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro18 matchesJuventude17 matches
1.39 goals/match ▲Goals scored18/171.12 goals/match
1.11 goals/match ▲Goals allowed18/171.29 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals18/17▲ 1.18 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots18/1712.4 shots/match
4.56 shots/match ▲Shots on target18/174 shots/match
51.1% ●Possession18/1747.9%
5.33 corners/match ●Corners18/174.06 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls18/1712.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples18 / 17home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 25 Jul 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroJuventude
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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