PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Juventude 0–3 Fortaleza · Serie A

0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fortaleza won 0–3.

Shots
1711
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.230.92
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortaleza beat Juventude 3–0. Recorded in this match (Juventude – Fortaleza): shots 17–11, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.23–0.92, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

weak

Juventude's last-five shots average is above their season average.

15.2 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season12.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots15.2 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.1 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots17 shots11 shotsJuventude 17 shots, Fortaleza 11 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsJuventude 6 shots, Fortaleza 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.23 xG0.92 xGJuventude 1.23 xG, Fortaleza 0.92 xG
  • Possession60%40%Juventude 60%, Fortaleza 40%
  • Corners5 corners3 cornersJuventude 5 corners, Fortaleza 3 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls14 foulsJuventude 7 fouls, Fortaleza 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Juventude
2Draws
1Fortaleza
Fortaleza — Juventude · Serie A2–1
Juventude — Fortaleza · Serie A1–1
Fortaleza — Juventude · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Fortaleza in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude32 matchesFortaleza32 matches
1.19 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.38 goals/match
1.59 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1 goal/match
1.09 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.16 xG/match
12.3 shots/matchShots32/3212.2 shots/match
4.25 shots/match ▲Shots on target32/323.81 shots/match
48% ●Possession32/3242.6%
4.31 corners/matchCorners32/32● 4.63 corners/match
12.4 fouls/matchFouls32/3213.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 3 Nov 2024, 01:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeFortaleza
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headJuventude — Fortaleza
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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