PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Bahia 0–3 São Paulo · Serie A

Bahia

LWLDL
0–3Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

São Paulo won 0–3.

Shots
2410
Shots on target
64
Expected goals
1.461.13
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

São Paulo beat Bahia 3–0. Recorded in this match (Bahia – São Paulo): shots 24–10, shots on target 6–4, expected goals 1.46–1.13, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

São Paulo's recent record differs from the season

moderate

São Paulo's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.41 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.41 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots24 shots10 shotsBahia 24 shots, São Paulo 10 shots
  • Shots on target6 shots4 shotsBahia 6 shots, São Paulo 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.46 xG1.13 xGBahia 1.46 xG, São Paulo 1.13 xG
  • Possession52%48%Bahia 52%, São Paulo 48%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersBahia 10 corners, São Paulo 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls16 foulsBahia 13 fouls, São Paulo 16 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Bahia
1Draws
2São Paulo
São Paulo — Bahia · Serie A3–1
Bahia — São Paulo · Serie A0–1
São Paulo — Bahia · Serie A0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Bahia favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · São Paulo in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Bahia32 matchesSão Paulo32 matches
1.31 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.41 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed32/32▲ 1.03 goals/match
1.34 xG/match ▲Expected goals32/321.15 xG/match
13.2 shots/matchShots32/3213 shots/match
4.69 shots/matchShots on target32/324.56 shots/match
55.8%Possession32/32● 56.8%
4.84 corners/matchCorners32/32● 5.16 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls32/3212.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 6 Nov 2024, 04:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsBahiaSão Paulo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headBahia — São Paulo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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