PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Cruzeiro 0–1 Flamengo · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Flamengo won 0–1.

Shots
1511
Shots on target
52
Expected goals
0.730.38
Possession
53%47%

Full time

What the match recorded

Flamengo beat Cruzeiro 1–0. Recorded in this match (Cruzeiro – Flamengo): shots 15–11, shots on target 5–2, expected goals 0.73–0.38, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Cruzeiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Cruzeiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.13 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.4 goals/match1.13 goals/match1.19 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots11 shotsCruzeiro 15 shots, Flamengo 11 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots2 shotsCruzeiro 5 shots, Flamengo 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.73 xG0.38 xGCruzeiro 0.73 xG, Flamengo 0.38 xG
  • Possession53%47%Cruzeiro 53%, Flamengo 47%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersCruzeiro 7 corners, Flamengo 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls13 foulsCruzeiro 8 fouls, Flamengo 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Cruzeiro
1Draws
2Flamengo
Flamengo — Cruzeiro · Serie A2–1
Cruzeiro — Flamengo · Serie A0–2
Flamengo — Cruzeiro · Serie A1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Cruzeiro favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Flamengo in 8 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Cruzeiro32 matchesFlamengo32 matches
1.13 goals/matchGoals scored32/32▲ 1.59 goals/match
1.06 goals/match ▲Goals allowed32/321.16 goals/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals32/32▲ 1.43 xG/match
12.7 shots/matchShots32/32▲ 14.3 shots/match
4.44 shots/matchShots on target32/32▲ 5.5 shots/match
52.3%Possession32/32● 55.2%
5.38 corners/matchCorners32/32● 5.94 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls32/3211.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples32 / 32home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 7 Nov 2024, 04:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsCruzeiroFlamengo
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
Head-to-headCruzeiro — Flamengo
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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