PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Vitória 1–2 Corinthians · Serie A

1–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Corinthians won 1–2.

Shots
913
Shots on target
27
Expected goals
1.580.97
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians beat Vitória 2–1. Recorded in this match (Vitória – Corinthians): shots 9–13, shots on target 2–7, expected goals 1.58–0.97, possession 42%–58%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Corinthians's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Corinthians's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.18 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.4 goals/match1.18 goals/match1.18 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Corinthians have a visible away split

moderate

Corinthians's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.9 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.9 shots/match14.2 shots/match13.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots13 shotsVitória 9 shots, Corinthians 13 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots7 shotsVitória 2 shots, Corinthians 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.58 xG0.97 xGVitória 1.58 xG, Corinthians 0.97 xG
  • Possession42%58%Vitória 42%, Corinthians 58%
  • Corners14 corners4 cornersVitória 14 corners, Corinthians 4 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls11 foulsVitória 11 fouls, Corinthians 11 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Vitória
0Draws
1Corinthians
Corinthians — Vitória · Serie A3–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vitória favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · Corinthians in 5 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vitória33 matchesCorinthians33 matches
1.15 goals/matchGoals scored33/331.18 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed33/33▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.11 xG/matchExpected goals33/33▲ 1.19 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots33/33▲ 14.2 shots/match
3.91 shots/matchShots on target33/33▲ 4.88 shots/match
42.7%Possession33/33● 50.1%
4.85 corners/matchCorners33/33● 5.36 corners/match
11.7 fouls/matchFouls33/3313.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 9 Nov 2024, 23:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsVitóriaCorinthians
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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