Serie A · 2024

Corinthians 3–1 Vasco da Gama · Serie A

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Corinthians won 3–1.

Shots
238
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
1.20.27
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Corinthians beat Vasco da Gama 3–1. Recorded in this match (Corinthians – Vasco da Gama): shots 23–8, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 1.2–0.27, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Corinthians's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Corinthians's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.26 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.26 goals/match1.2 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Vasco da Gama.

4.21 days ▲Rest daysCorinthians · Vasco da Gama2.83 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricCorinthiansVasco da GamaBaseline
Rest days4.21 days2.83 days—
Matches last 14 days1 match1 match—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Corinthians have a visible home split

moderate

Corinthians's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

16.7 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season14.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots16.7 shots/match14.4 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots8 shotsCorinthians 23 shots, Vasco da Gama 8 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsCorinthians 8 shots, Vasco da Gama 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.2 xG0.27 xGCorinthians 1.2 xG, Vasco da Gama 0.27 xG
  • Possession60%40%Corinthians 60%, Vasco da Gama 40%
  • Corners7 corners6 cornersCorinthians 7 corners, Vasco da Gama 6 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls14 foulsCorinthians 8 fouls, Vasco da Gama 14 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Corinthians
0Draws
1Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama — Corinthians · Serie A2–0
Vasco da Gama — Corinthians · Serie A2–4
Corinthians — Vasco da Gama · Serie A3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Corinthians favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · Vasco da Gama in 1 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Corinthians35 matchesVasco da Gama35 matches
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals scored35/351.06 goals/match
1.23 goals/match ▲Goals allowed35/351.51 goals/match
1.25 xG/match ▲Expected goals35/350.96 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots35/3511.5 shots/match
5.09 shots/match ▲Shots on target35/353.63 shots/match
50.2% ●Possession35/3547.7%
5.34 corners/match ●Corners35/354.29 corners/match
13.1 fouls/matchFouls35/3512.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples35 / 35home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 24 Nov 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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