Serie A · 2024

Vasco da Gama 2–0 Atlético Mineiro · Serie A

2–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Vasco da Gama won 2–0.

Shots
1111
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
1.320.58
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Vasco da Gama beat Atlético Mineiro 2–0. Recorded in this match (Vasco da Gama – Atlético Mineiro): shots 11–11, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 1.32–0.58, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Atlético Mineiro's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Atlético Mineiro's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.24 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.24 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Vasco da Gama, Atlético Mineiro.

3.9 days ▲Rest daysVasco da Gama · Atlético Mineiro7.9 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricVasco da GamaAtlético MineiroBaseline
Rest days3.9 days7.9 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Atlético Mineiro have recorded the higher season possession share.

48.4%PossessionVasco da Gama · Atlético Mineiro● 57.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricVasco da GamaAtlético MineiroBaseline
Possession48.4%57.3%49.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots11 shotsVasco da Gama 11 shots, Atlético Mineiro 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsVasco da Gama 4 shots, Atlético Mineiro 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.32 xG0.58 xGVasco da Gama 1.32 xG, Atlético Mineiro 0.58 xG
  • Possession58%42%Vasco da Gama 58%, Atlético Mineiro 42%
  • Corners3 corners6 cornersVasco da Gama 3 corners, Atlético Mineiro 6 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls13 foulsVasco da Gama 20 fouls, Atlético Mineiro 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Vasco da Gama
0Draws
1Atlético Mineiro
Atlético Mineiro — Vasco da Gama · Serie A2–0
Vasco da Gama — Atlético Mineiro · Serie A1–0
Atlético Mineiro — Vasco da Gama · Serie A1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Vasco da Gama favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Atlético Mineiro in 8 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Vasco da Gama37 matchesAtlético Mineiro37 matches
1.11 goals/matchGoals scored37/37▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.49 goals/matchGoals allowed37/371.46 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals37/37▲ 1.21 xG/match
11.6 shots/matchShots37/37▲ 13.6 shots/match
3.73 shots/matchShots on target37/37▲ 4.32 shots/match
48.4%Possession37/37● 57.3%
4.27 corners/matchCorners37/37● 4.7 corners/match
12.5 fouls/matchFouls37/3713.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples37 / 37home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Thu, 5 Dec 2024, 02:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

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