PitchMath
Serie A · 2024

Juventude 0–1 Cruzeiro · Serie A

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Cruzeiro won 0–1.

Shots
218
Shots on target
71
Expected goals
1.420.78
Possession
50%50%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cruzeiro beat Juventude 1–0. Recorded in this match (Juventude – Cruzeiro): shots 21–8, shots on target 7–1, expected goals 1.42–0.78, possession 50%–50%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Juventude's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Juventude's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.26 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1.26 goals/match1.21 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Juventude, Cruzeiro.

3.83 days ▲Rest daysJuventude · Cruzeiro3.77 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricJuventudeCruzeiroBaseline
Rest days3.83 days3.77 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots8 shotsJuventude 21 shots, Cruzeiro 8 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots1 shotJuventude 7 shots, Cruzeiro 1 shot
  • Expected goals1.42 xG0.78 xGJuventude 1.42 xG, Cruzeiro 0.78 xG
  • Possession50%50%Juventude 50%, Cruzeiro 50%
  • Corners8 corners1 cornerJuventude 8 corners, Cruzeiro 1 corner
  • Fouls13 fouls13 foulsJuventude 13 fouls, Cruzeiro 13 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Juventude
0Draws
1Cruzeiro
Cruzeiro — Juventude · Serie A2–0

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Juventude favored in 4 of 11 directional metrics · Cruzeiro in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Juventude38 matchesCruzeiro38 matches
1.26 goals/match ▲Goals scored38/381.13 goals/match
1.55 goals/matchGoals allowed38/38▲ 1.08 goals/match
1.15 xG/match ▲Expected goals38/381.06 xG/match
12.9 shots/matchShots38/3813.1 shots/match
4.58 shots/match ▲Shots on target38/384.26 shots/match
47.2%Possession38/38● 53.1%
4.47 corners/matchCorners38/38● 5.39 corners/match
12.3 fouls/matchFouls38/3812.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples38 / 38home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 8 Dec 2024, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Serie A

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsJuventudeCruzeiro
CompetitionSerie ASerie A 2024
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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