PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 1–2 Estudiantes de La Plata · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Estudiantes de La Plata won 1–2.

Shots
1310
Shots on target
26
Possession
42%58%

Full time

What the match recorded

Estudiantes de La Plata beat Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 2–1. Recorded in this match (Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza – Estudiantes de La Plata): shots 13–10, shots on target 2–6, possession 42%–58%, corners 4–3. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza have a visible home split

moderate

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

13.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.5 shots/match10.4 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's recent record differs from the season

weak

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.67 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match0.67 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Estudiantes de La Plata show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Estudiantes de La Plata's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

10.4 shots/match ▲ShotsGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza · Estudiantes de La Plata13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGimnasia y Esgrima MendozaEstudiantes de La PlataBaseline
Shots10.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match11.3 shots/match
Shots against11.9 shots/match11 shots/match11.2 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots10 shotsGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 13 shots, Estudiantes de La Plata 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 2 shots, Estudiantes de La Plata 6 shots
  • Possession42%58%Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 42%, Estudiantes de La Plata 58%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 4 corners, Estudiantes de La Plata 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls17 foulsGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza 10 fouls, Estudiantes de La Plata 17 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza favored in 1 of 9 directional metrics · Estudiantes de La Plata in 8

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Gimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza12 matchesEstudiantes de La Plata10 matches
0.67 goals/matchGoals scored12/10▲ 0.9 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed12/10▲ 0.5 goals/match
10.4 shots/matchShots12/10▲ 13.4 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target12/10▲ 4.5 shots/match
42.8%Possession12/10● 53.9%
3.25 corners/matchCorners12/10● 4.6 corners/match
11.6 fouls/matchFouls12/1011.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples12 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 18 Mar 2026, 04:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsGimnasia y Esgrima MendozaEstudiantes de La Plata
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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