PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026Estadio Presidente Peron

Instituto De Córdoba 2–1 CA Independiente · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Instituto De Córdoba won 2–1.

Shots
1112
Shots on target
44
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Instituto Cordoba beat Independiente 2–1. Recorded in this match (Instituto Cordoba – Independiente): shots 11–12, shots on target 4–4, possession 36%–64%, corners 3–8. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Independiente's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Independiente's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.55 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.55 goals/match1 goal/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Independiente have a visible away split

moderate

Independiente's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match11.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

4.82 corners/matchCornersInstituto Cordoba · Independiente● 6.64 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricInstituto CordobaIndependienteBaseline
Corners4.82 corners/match6.64 corners/match4.17 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots12 shotsInstituto De Córdoba 11 shots, CA Independiente 12 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsInstituto De Córdoba 4 shots, CA Independiente 4 shots
  • Possession36%64%Instituto De Córdoba 36%, CA Independiente 64%
  • Corners3 corners8 cornersInstituto De Córdoba 3 corners, CA Independiente 8 corners
  • Fouls20 fouls12 foulsInstituto De Córdoba 20 fouls, CA Independiente 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards3 cardsInstituto De Córdoba 5 cards, CA Independiente 3 cards
  • Passes222 passes392 passesInstituto De Córdoba 222 passes, CA Independiente 392 passes
  • Pass accuracy68%83%Instituto De Córdoba 68%, CA Independiente 83%
  • Shots inside box8 shots5 shotsInstituto De Córdoba 8 shots, CA Independiente 5 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks3 blocksInstituto De Córdoba 3 blocks, CA Independiente 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves3 saves2 savesInstituto De Córdoba 3 saves, CA Independiente 2 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides4 offsidesInstituto De Córdoba 3 offsides, CA Independiente 4 offsides

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Instituto De Córdoba favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · CA Independiente in 6 · 3 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Instituto De Córdoba11 matchesCA Independiente11 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored11/11▲ 1.55 goals/match
1.36 goals/matchGoals allowed11/11▲ 1.27 goals/match
12.5 shots/matchShots11/11▲ 13.6 shots/match
4.09 shots/matchShots on target11/114.27 shots/match
52.5%Possession11/11● 53.8%
4.82 corners/matchCorners11/11● 6.64 corners/match
2.25 cards/matchCards8/83 cards/match
14.2 fouls/matchFouls11/1111 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples11 / 11home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 17 Mar 2026, 05:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsInstituto De CórdobaCA Independiente
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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