PitchMath
Liga Profesional de Fútbol · 2026

Estudiantes de La Plata 0–1 Racing Club · Liga Profesional de Fútbol

0–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Racing Club won 0–1.

Shots
138
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
0.820.97
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Racing Club beat Estudiantes de La Plata 1–0. Recorded in this match (Estudiantes de La Plata – Racing Club): shots 13–8, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 0.82–0.97, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Racing Club's recent record differs from the season

weak

Racing Club's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.06 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.06 goals/match1.05 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots8 shotsEstudiantes de La Plata 13 shots, Racing Club 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsEstudiantes de La Plata 4 shots, Racing Club 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.82 xG0.97 xGEstudiantes de La Plata 0.82 xG, Racing Club 0.97 xG
  • Possession48%52%Estudiantes de La Plata 48%, Racing Club 52%
  • Corners1 corner4 cornersEstudiantes de La Plata 1 corner, Racing Club 4 corners
  • Fouls1 foul18 foulsEstudiantes de La Plata 1 foul, Racing Club 18 fouls

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Estudiantes de La Plata favored in 6 of 9 directional metrics · Racing Club in 3

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Estudiantes de La Plata17 matchesRacing Club18 matches
1.12 goals/match ▲Goals scored17/181.06 goals/match
0.47 goals/match ▲Goals allowed17/180.83 goals/match
13.6 shots/match ▲Shots17/1811.7 shots/match
4.94 shots/match ▲Shots on target17/183.22 shots/match
53.3%Possession17/18● 56.7%
4.41 corners/match ●Corners17/184.33 corners/match
11.5 fouls/matchFouls17/1814.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — ready
Season samples17 / 18home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, cards.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 11 May 2026, 00:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Liga Profesional de Fútbol

Goals per match rankingShots per match rankingShots on target per match ranking
TeamsEstudiantes de La PlataRacing Club
CompetitionLiga Profesional de Fútbol
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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