Qingdao Hainiu
Super League · 2023Qingdao Hainiu 3–1 Beijing Guoan · Super League
A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.
Match at a glance
Qingdao Hainiu won 3–1.
- Shots
- 7–25
- Shots on target
- 3–6
- Expected goals
- 1.12–2.11
- Possession
- 23%–77%
Full time
What the match recorded
Qingdao Hainiu beat Beijing Guoan 3–1. Recorded in this match (Qingdao Hainiu – Beijing Guoan): shots 7–25, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 1.12–2.11, possession 23%–77%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
The teams have contrasting possession records
weakBeijing Guoan have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 28.3 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Qingdao Hainiu | Beijing Guoan | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 35.7% | 64% | 50.7% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Qingdao Hainiu.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Qingdao Hainiu | Beijing Guoan | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 4 days | 5 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 2 matches | 2 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Beijing Guoan show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakBeijing Guoan's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Qingdao Hainiu | Beijing Guoan | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 15 shots/match | 19 shots/match | 15.2 shots/match |
| Shots against | 13.3 shots/match | 11 shots/match | 12.5 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
This match
Match statistics
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Qingdao Hainiu favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Beijing Guoan in 0 · 11 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Qingdao Hainiu / Beijing Guoan
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
- The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
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