PitchMath
Super League · 2023

Meizhou Hakka 3–1 Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League

3–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Meizhou Hakka won 3–1.

Shots
108
Shots on target
44
Expected goals
1.090.64
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

Meizhou Hakka beat Chengdu Rongcheng 3–1. Recorded in this match (Meizhou Hakka – Chengdu Rongcheng): shots 10–8, shots on target 4–4, expected goals 1.09–0.64, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Chengdu Rongcheng's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Chengdu Rongcheng's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.53 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.53 goals/match1.33 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Meizhou Hakka show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

Meizhou Hakka's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

9.6 shots/match ▲ShotsMeizhou Hakka · Chengdu Rongcheng13.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricMeizhou HakkaChengdu RongchengBaseline
Shots9.6 shots/match13.9 shots/match12.4 shots/match
Shots against14.6 shots/match7.93 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Chengdu Rongcheng.

5 days ▲Rest daysMeizhou Hakka · Chengdu Rongcheng4 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricMeizhou HakkaChengdu RongchengBaseline
Rest days5 days4 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots8 shotsMeizhou Hakka 10 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 8 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots4 shotsMeizhou Hakka 4 shots, Chengdu Rongcheng 4 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG0.64 xGMeizhou Hakka 1.09 xG, Chengdu Rongcheng 0.64 xG
  • Possession63%37%Meizhou Hakka 63%, Chengdu Rongcheng 37%
  • Corners6 corners0 cornersMeizhou Hakka 6 corners, Chengdu Rongcheng 0 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls12 foulsMeizhou Hakka 18 fouls, Chengdu Rongcheng 12 fouls

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Meizhou Hakka
1Draws
1Chengdu Rongcheng
Meizhou Hakka — Chengdu Rongcheng · Super League1–2
Chengdu Rongcheng — Meizhou Hakka · Super League0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Meizhou Hakka favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Chengdu Rongcheng in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Meizhou Hakka15 matchesChengdu Rongcheng15 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored15/15▲ 1.53 goals/match
1.8 goals/matchGoals allowed15/15▲ 1.07 goals/match
1.03 xG/matchExpected goals15/15▲ 1.41 xG/match
9.6 shots/matchShots15/15▲ 13.9 shots/match
3.07 shots/matchShots on target15/15▲ 4.73 shots/match
48.4%Possession15/15● 52.9%
4.67 corners/matchCorners15/15● 5.4 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls15/1513.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 7 Jul 2023, 15:35 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Super League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsMeizhou HakkaChengdu Rongcheng
CompetitionSuper LeagueSuper League 2023
Head-to-headMeizhou Hakka — Chengdu Rongcheng
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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